Crypto Market Regime
Detection — Updated Daily
AI-powered classification of Bull, Bear, Range, Volatility, and Transition regimes across BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB, ADA, and DOGE, powered by derivatives data and on-chain metrics. Know WHEN to trade — not just what to trade.
Powered by derivatives data, on-chain metrics, and ML ensemble models. Updated daily.
Most Crypto Traders Ignore Market Regime
Three structural realities every trader must understand.
Direction Is Not Enough
Price can rise in bull markets and still destroy traders in choppy regimes.
Regime Determines Behaviour
Breakouts, pullbacks and volatility behave differently depending on structural regime.
Size Must Follow Structure
Using the same position size across regimes increases drawdown risk significantly.
Crypto Rotates Through Structural Regimes
Understanding regime structure allows traders to adapt strategies instead of relying on price direction alone.
Daily Regime Classification & Forecasting
Built for traders who want to understand what regime they are in.
Daily Regime Classification
Identifies whether BTC is trending, choppy or transitioning — updated every day with quantitative model output.
Volatility Compression Detection
Highlights periods where breakouts are statistically unreliable — so you stop trading false setups.
Forward Regime Bias
1D / 3D / 7D forward regime forecasts with confidence scores so you can anticipate structural shifts.
Historical Regime Transitions
Understand how Bitcoin moves between structural market phases — and how strategies perform in each.
Built Using Institutional Regime Models
RegimeRisk analyses Bitcoin market structure across 200+ features including open interest, funding rates, liquidations, and volatility structure.
Built on perpetual futures data, on-chain HODL waves, and cross-asset macro signals. See the full methodology →
Used by discretionary and systematic traders tracking Bitcoin market behaviour across multiple timeframes and structural phases.
Also available as a free indicator on TradingView.
How RegimeRisk Detects Market Regimes
From raw market data to actionable regime intelligence in three steps.
Ingest Derivatives & Market Data
We pull real-time data from Binance USDT-M futures including open interest, funding rates, liquidation flows, and volatility metrics — the same signals institutional desks monitor.
Classify the Current Regime
Our ML ensemble — XGBoost, LightGBM, and CatBoost — processes 200+ engineered features to classify Bitcoin's current market state: Bull, Bear, Range, Volatility, or Transition.
Adapt Your Strategy
Receive daily regime classifications and forward-looking regime bias with confidence scores. Stop trading the wrong strategy for the current market structure.
Test Your Market Structure Awareness
Take the RegimeRisk diagnostic to measure your market structure awareness and find out which trader category you fall into.
3 minutes · 15 questions · Instant result · Free
From the Blog
Latest Regime Insights
Bitcoin Drawdown Risk Across Market Regimes
Bitcoin drawdown risk is peak-to-trough loss plus duration, recovery, and regime context—not a single ATH percentage or a crash forecast.
Bitcoin Trend Indicators: Direction, Strength, and Momentum
A regime-aware guide to bitcoin trend indicators: map moving averages to direction, ADX to strength, and RSI to momentum—without treating any overlay as a forecast.
How to Use the Free TradingView Regime Indicator
Install and use RegimeRisk's free TradingView indicator to identify Bull, Bear, Range, Volatility, and Transition conditions directly on a Bitcoin chart.
Regime Guides for Every Major Asset
Each asset has a distinct relationship with Bitcoin's regime — understand the divergence before sizing in.
Choose Your Plan
Start free. Upgrade when you need multi-horizon regime forecasts.
- Daily Regime Classification — BTC only
- Regime confidence score
- Macro regime summary
- Macro rates score
- Macro risk meter
- Market posture overview
- Web dashboard access
- Everything in Free
- 1D / 3D / 7D Forward Regime Forecasts
- 6 assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB, ADA, DOGE
- Confidence scores per forecast horizon
- Regime probability breakdowns
- Core Macro Panel (10Y, DXY, MOVE, VIX, HYG, SPX, OIL, Copper)
- Score, Z-Score, momentum & acceleration per asset
- Rates subindex breakdown
- Front-end rate proxy
- Component breakdown with weights & contributions
- Historical macro data
- Quick action framework
No card required — reverts to free after 7 days.
- Everything in Pro
- Full API access
- Programmatic regime data
- Webhook & data delivery
- More features coming soon
Cancel anytime. Read-only analytics. No trade execution. No automated actions.